The refining margin between crude oil and its many products can
partially be represented by the crack spread. Crude
oil is refined or "cracked" into many different
constituent products but two of the main components
are gasoline and heating oil.
A barrel of crude oil
yields different proportions of gasoline and heating
oil depending on the crude and the refinery. Assume
the percentage of gasoline is equal to the
percentage of heating oil. The calculation for the
crack spread follows:
One crude oil
contract = 1000 barrels
One heating oil or
gasoline contract = 42,000 gallons
One thousand
barrels = 42,000 gallons
Therefore, two crude
oil contracts equal approximately one heating oil and one
unleaded gasoline contract:
2 crude oil
= 1 heating oil + 1
unleaded gasoline
The above
relationship is the basis for the crack spread.
Subtracting the crude oil on both sides of the
equation and dividing by 2 provides the margin or
crack spread on a 1000 barrel basis:
Crack spread
= [1 heating oil + 1
gasoline -
2 crude oil]/2
Assume:
July crude oil
= $21.00/barrel
July heating oil
= $0.56/gallon = 42 x $0.56 = $23.52/barrel
July unleaded gas
= $0.66/gallon = 42 x $0.66 = $27.72/barrel
The crack spread
= ($23.52 + $27.72 - 2 x $21.00)/2
= $4.62
The trader might compare this to historical values or determine
fundamental or technical relationships for an
appropriate valuation.
As
mentioned, there are different proportions of
gasoline and heating oil from a barrel of crude oil.
Other crack spreads are the 3:2:1 which is three
crude to two gasoline to one heating oil. Another is
the 5:3:2 or five crude to three gasoline to two
heating oil. Gasoline is generally produced in
greater amounts than the heating oil component.