RISK AND REWARD
CHARACTERISTICS OF BUYING AND SELLING A FUTURE
One of the best ways to see why options are used is to view a graph of
the profit and loss potential of options versus outrights.
An
example of outright future.
The horizontal, or x axis, is the price of
the future and the vertical, or y axis, is the
profit or loss of the position. The positively
sloping 45- line represents the profit and loss
potential in buying the future, and the negatively
sloped 45 -
line
represents the profit and loss potential of selling
the future. For every dollar the future moves the
position will make or lose one dollar.
Outright
positions are the simplest and usually most popular
form of trading. The profit and loss situation is
straightforward and simply a function of the price
of the future
Option Pricing
The advent of option pricing models which was led by the Black Scholes
model opened up the field of option trading by
quantum leaps. Options can now be evaluated to
determine appropriate theoretical values. These
models allow trading based on theoretical valuation
as well as market direction, opening up entirely new
arenas of trading.
The models provide a
framework for option evaluation. An options trader
cannot blindly use the models and watch money pour
in. A "cheap" option according to the models may
remain cheap or even get a lot cheaper. The models
are guides not answers. The ultimate judge of value
is the market price.
Market Volatility
Option prices are affected by various factors, but one of the most
important factors is the volatility of the market.
Anyone who trades options should have some
understanding of what volatility is and how option
prices are affected by it. Most intelligent option
trading is done with a strong awareness of the
volatility of the market.
Spreads
Spread trading
represents another way of trading the market
which is somewhat different than outright
buying, selling, or option trading. A trader
initiates a spread by speculating on the
relationship between two or more futures or
securities. The trader is not usually concerned
about the absolute price level of either future,
but rather how both futures move relative to
each other.
Almost all
spreads involve one side which is buying one or
more futures and the other side which is selling
one or more futures. There are three basic types
of spreads:
-
An intracommodity
spread
is a spread between different months in the same
commodity.
Buying July coffee
and selling December coffee,
or buying October
sugar and selling March sugar are examples of
intracommodity spreads.
-
An intercommodity spread is a spread
between different
commodities
which
are usually related.
Buying March S&P500
and selling March
NYSE, or selling June
Treasury bonds and buying June Eurodollars are
examples of intercommodity spreads.
-
An intermarket spread is a spread between the
same commodity on different exchanges.
Buying London sugar
and selling NY sugar,
or selling NY crude
oil and buying London oil are examples of
intermarket spreads.
Spread
trading is another way to approach the market
without taking outright positions. Spread trading,
like option trading, is no more or less risky, but
the risks and rewards are of a different nature.
Spreads are a means to trade the relative value of
one market versus another.
Option Combinations
There are many ways
to combine options and out-rights into more complex
trading vehicles. Virtually every option strategy,
no matter how complex, is
really a combination of the basic ones.
Option strategies can
become quite complex but even the most
sophisticated ones are based on the simple concept
of buying or selling one or more options against
another option or outright. These combinations are
used by many traders and also form the basis of
theoretical option trading where options are bought
and sold based on their theoretical value versus
trading on market direction. Some option
combinations such as straddles and ratios may be
traded on volatility considerations of the market
versus a strong conviction on market direction.
Options
offer many ways to trade a market. Option
combinations increase this variety by offering
profit and loss combinations not available in any
other trading method. Option spreads may at first
seem difficult to understand but their use enhances
the tools of the speculator and hedger.