Option Pricing - Theta
The
theta measures the change in the option price
with respect to a change in time.
change in the option price
Theta
=
----------------------------
change in time
The theta value is a
measure of the effect time has on the option price.
The value of the option premium should decrease with
lime when all other variables are held constant, so
the theta is always negative. However, this change
is not linear but becomes much greater as the option
nears expiration. The theta
is greatest near expiration and becomes less
pronounced the further the option is to expiration.
For example, if the future and volatility do not
change, the time decay in one day will be much
greater for an option with one day versus one year
to expiration. The change in price of the option
with time is also partly a function of whether the
option is at the money or away from it.
The theta is related to the gamma because positions with a positive
gamma will have a negative theta. This simply means
the price of the option will erode due to time
decay. The position will incur a loss if there is no
significant movement in time. For example, a trader
holding a positive gamma position such as a straddle
will lose money with time if the market does not
move. The premium of the options will decay with
time. However, the trader with a negative gamma such
as short the straddle will make money if the market
does not move.
A
positive gamma is always offset by negative theta. A
negative gamma is helped by time decay. The option
trader must always realize there is a constant
trade-off between being long options and watching
them decay, or being short options and concerned
about a significant price move. It is always
necessary to understand the relationship of gamma
and theta.