Chart
patterns are one of the most popular forms of subjective
analysis. Two of the first technicians to categorize and
document the different chart formations were Robert Ed
wards and John Magee,
Technical
Analysis
of
Stock Trends. An
actual examples of some of the patterns traders look for
in a market, the breaking of support or resistance
levels in these patterns provides an indication that a
change in trend may occur. The support and resistance
levels are also helpful in providing possible entry and
exit points for trading.
The
idea behind trading market patterns is to identify
formations which have exhibited bullish or bearish
behavior in the past. The technician looks for these
same formations with current market data for possible
trading opportunities. The patterns are generally traded
by buying or selling the breakouts which occur above or
below the support or resistance points determined from
the charts. The following patterns are some of the more
commonly found patterns in trading.
The
triangle is formed by the resistance line off the two
tops and the support line off the two bottoms. Possible
buy points include the breaking of the resistance line,
or the lower or higher top. Possible sell points include
the breaking of the support line, or the higher or lower
bottom. If a buy point is reached first, then the
original Support line, or the higher or low bottom. If
buy points is reached first, then the original sell
point can be used as protective stops for a long
position. The reverse holds true if a sell level is hit
first.
This
December 90 S&P500 is an example of a triangle
formation. The top of the triangle occurs in early
October near the 326 level, and the lower top develops
in mid-October near the 321 level. The bottom of the
triangle begins in mid-October near the 298 level, and
the higher bottom occurs in late October at the 303
level. The market initially breaks through the
resistance line in early November at the 317 level, and
rallies higher into December. This was a difficult
triangle pattern to trade because each time a resistance
level was broken the market did not follow through
immediately.
A
rectangle develops when a resistance line is drawn from
two or more similar highs, and a support line is drawn
from two or more similar lows. A possible buy point is
the breaking of the resistance line. A possible sell
point is the breaking of the support line. As with the
triangle, if a sell point is reached first, the buy
level can become the area to place a protective buy
stop, and vice versa.