LEONARDO
FIBONACCI
Leonardo
Fibonacci was a brilliant Italian mathematician who
lived during the late 1100's and early 1200's. He
introduced or discovered many important new ideas, but
one of his most famous is a natural mathematical series.
The
Fibonacci series
is the sum of the two
previous numbers. Starting with one and two, the next
number in the series is the sum of one and two:
1+2=3
The next number is the sum
of 2 plus 3:
2+3=5
The series continues:
3+5=8
5 + 8 = 13
and so on and is written
as:
1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, . . .
and continues
indefinitely.
Fibonacci
believed the numbers in the series had special
importance. He visited the great pyramid of Gizeh in
Egypt, and noted many of the dimensions. He believed the
ancient cultures may have maintained a significance with
this series of numbers because certain dimensions in the
great pyramid corresponded with the series.
The
ratio of two consecutive numbers in the Fibonacci series
approaches 0.618 as shown in the following calculations:
1/2 =
0.5
2/3 =
0.667
3/5 =
0.6
5/8 =
0.625
8/13
= 0.615
The
ratio 0.618 is called the
golden mean and had
special significance
with the ancient Greek and Egyptian cultures. They
believed the number had important implications in many
areas of science and art. Many buildings, including the
pyramid, were built with this dimension in mind. The
golden mean has been, and still is an important
reference level in the arts, such as painting.
Many occurrences in nature seem to exhibit either the Fibonacci series or
the golden mean. For example, certain flowers such as
daisies
increase the number of
their petals in a Fibonacci sequence.
Certain animal shapes and dimensions in galaxies exhibit the golden.
The Fibonacci series is an
interesting mathematical idea, but what does it have to
do with trading? Many studies, such as the Elliott Wave
theory, are based on some of the concepts of the
Fibonacci series.
PERCENTAGE RETRACEMENTS
Percentage
retracements refer to the market reacting from a
high or low by a certain percentage. The more
popular retracements include the 25%, 33%, 38%, and
50% retracement levels which are derived from the
importance of the common fractions 1/4, 1/3, 3/8,
and 1/2. The 3/8 is an important fraction because of
its relationship with the golden mean. Recall from
the Fibonacci section the golden mean 0.62 is
considered an important number. The 38% retracement
Is derived by subtracting 1 from the golden mean or
1 - 0.62 = 038.
These
percentage levels, when measured from the high of a
move, should act as a support level when the market
retraces from the high. The percentage levels, when
measured from the low of a move, should act as a
resistance level when the market retraces from the
low.