A
support point
is a place where buying overcomes selling
and, consequently, the market tends to rise.
The support points develop
quite often, and indicate places where traders believe
the market is oversold, or a good buy.
A
resistance point
is a place where selling overcomes buying, and
therefore, the market drops. There are
points constantly recur on
a short-, intermediate-, and long-term level, and become
the basis for making trading decisions. The pot are
reference frames providing possible areas to enter the
market and equally important areas for exiting the
market. This will investigated further when we look at
trend lines.
Many
people find support and resistance frustrating to
work with because the levels are ranges, as opposed
to exact numb. or levels. Some believe these levels
do not really signify anything especially when
markets violate these levels. For example, the
previously mentioned 90 support level in June is
broken on August 6
and decisively penetrated on August
21. However, these levels cannot be predicted with
100% accuracy, like an experiment in physic The
trader must realize we are really studying the
actions of people, m
not merely precise
economic data. Therefore, we are working in
probabilities not certainties.
Once
a support point is broken, the level becomes a
resistance point. The converse is true where a
resistance point which is broken, becomes a support
point. The transformations of support to resistance,
and of resistance to support.
Once
broken, the support level becomes a resistance level and
the resistance level becomes a support level.
Why
does this happen? Support and resistance points
indicate levels where significant buying and selling
occur. If a support point is broken, the traders who
were long will now tend to become sellers at the
same place in order to break even on the trade.
Whenever " trader begins to lose money, one of the
first impulses is to get out at the original point
of entry, in order to break even. This is one of the
most important reasons why support points become
resistance points, and vice versa. The selling at
the old support point will now provide resistance in
the market. The same reasoning applies for
resistance levels.
Another
reason for this transfiguration is that support and
resistance points may represent important
fundamental price levels. Buyers and sellers
converge at these points, so the levels become areas
of inertia, where price moves may be slowed in
either direction.
The
September 89 NYSE contract is an example of
resistance becoming support. The resistance level of
173, established In February and March, is taken out
decisively in April, and becomes support when the
market retraces in May. The high between 177 and 178
in April is broken through in May, and becomes
support In late June and early July.