W.
D. Gann researched the markets and devised all kinds of
technical studies during the early and mid-1900's. Some
of his ideas were grounded in empirical studies, while
others were more mystical in nature. Irrespective of
one's opinions about his work, he was clearly one of the
most creative and thorough technicians who also wrote
extensively about his work. He contended that certain
laws governed not only the markets, but nature as well,
and were therefore universal In scope.
One
of his most important contributions was the concept of
combining price and time. Gann believed crucial price
movements happened when price and time converged. These
points usually indicated important changes in trend.
However, if price and time were not synchronized or did
not converge, time always held priority over price.
Therefore, time was the ultimate indicator because all
of nature was governed by time.
Gann
believed the bottom, designated 0, and the top,
designated 100, of any major move, provided valuable
clues in analyzing the market. He postulated that 0 and
100 represented important price levels to many people.
Halfway between the major high and low is the 50% level,
which signified the next important range for support
"lid resistance in the market. The next important level
would be the 25% and 75% level because these were
halfway between the 50% and 0% and 100% level,
respectively. Another significant division is the 33%
and 67% level.
The weekly chart of
corn in Figure 10.30 provides an example using some
of his ideas:
-
In the summer of
1989 corn hit a low of 220 and rallied to a high
of 300 in the summer of 1990, for an 80 point
move.
-
It dropped back to
220 retracing 100% of the 80 point move in
November 1990.
-
It then rallied 40
points, or 50%, of the 80 point move to 260 in
March 1991.
-
It declined to 240
losing 20 points, or 50%, of the 40 point move
in May 1991.
These
percentages may also be applied in measuring time, with
a full year (100%), 1/2 year (50%), and 1/4 year (25%)
representing important times of the year. A market might
make a significant retracement or change of trend during
these times.
Gann
also applied his techniques to angles using 360. as the
full circle, 180. which is 1/2 of 360., and 90. which is
1/2 of 180., and so on, as important angles. Gann angles
can be drawn on a bar chart to show the relationship
between price and time. A line drawn from an angle might
provide support if the market is trading above the line.
A line would provide resistance if the market is trading
below the line. A possible change in trend also might be
indicated with the angles.
The
squaring of price and time was another one of his
innovative ideas. This concept dealt with placing price
levels on a square or other geometric shape. The
diagonal, horizontal, and vertical lines resulting from
the square were considered important support and
resistance points. Gann would create these squares with
hexagons and other kinds of geometric figures, and apply
the same principles.