ADJUST TO A CONSTANTLY CHANGING ENVIRONMENT
You
finally develop a method that makes money and-pow!-the
market changes and you find yourself losing money
again.
Trading requires that you be flexible and adaptable
to the ever changing market environment.
The only constant in life is change, and this
applies equally well
to trading.
A strategy that
worked well one year may prove disastrous the next.
The markets continually change, but most peoples'
trading methods usually stay the same. It is hard to
change a method that worked just a short time ago,
but complacency in the markets is often a prelude to
disaster.
Brains
is a bull market is an apt description of the
mentality of some traders about a market. Some
people can only buy and appear to be fantastic
traders in bull markets, but when the bull market
turns into a bear phase they often lose their touch
and their money. Others can only sell and wait for
bear markets to trade. Others don't seem to care
either way and are adroit at making or losing money
in either phase.
Traders
may have good winning streaks and then begin losing
money for no reason at all. What usually happens is
a method that was successful before does not work
now because the market has changed. We would give
almost anything to see the market trade as it did in
the past, but it is senseless to think this way.
Instead, we must learn to adapt to the market and
change the method or find a different market where
the method may have a better chance of working.
You
may be wondering if there is a contradiction
brewing. A trader needs to be disciplined and follow
rules; yet the trader also needs to be flexible and
know when to change the rules and surrender to the
flow of the market. There is a crucial difference.
The trader does not follow rules to prove he
possesses self control. Instead, the trader believes
following the rules will produce beneficial results
in the long run. Flexibility is the ability to adapt
to a constantly changing environment. The trader
must realize the rules are not inviolate, but may
change because the market changes with time. The
trader must understand the rules may need to be
changed in order to obtain the beneficial results
again.
The
trader does not surrender internal control to the
market, but realizes the market is more powerful.
Therefore, the trader does not try to impose his
control or set of beliefs on the market.
For
example, assume you are following a trading method.
You notice every time a buy or sell signal occurs
the market often goes the opposite way, and the
trade results in a loss immediately. In this
situation, self-discipline in carrying out the
trading signals will only prove disastrous. What you
really need is the flexibility to change the
original system. This is the difference between
being flexible to the changing market, versus
following the whims or utterances of rumors and
news reports.
There
are always times when you are better off not
following the rules of your trading system and
breaking your self-discipline. But what you have to
determine is whether you are consistently better off
following or not following the rules. If you are
better off not following the rules, it is not the
discipline which must be broken, but the rule system
that is not quite as good as you originally thought.
Therefore,
you must follow your rules, and this requires
self-discipline. But, you must also be flexible in
adapting to the constantly changing environment of
the market. The dinosaurs did not survive because
they could not adapt to the change in their
environment. You must be able to adapt to the market
or you will not survive. You need the flexibility to
adapt to a situation and develop a versatile trading
method, along with the self-discipline to carry out
your plans.