What is Subjective and Objective Analysis?
Virtually
all forms of technical analysis fall under the broad
description of pattern recognition. Pattern recognition
is the
study of recurring formations or patterns.
These patterns may
be as simple as a gap formation, or as complex as a head
and shoulders or Elliott Wave formation. The patterns
may be generated from price or volume Information which
is directly related to the market, or from data such as
astrological or weather information not directly related
to the market. A "narrower" view of pattern recognition
falls under the extensive study of artificial
intelligence, which will be covered In the objective
section.
The
various types of technical analysis can be separated
into the two broad categories of
subjective
and
objective
analysis:
-
Subjective analysis
refers to studies that are subject to interpretation
and therefore not easily verified using statistical
methods.
An example of
a subjective pattern would be a head and shoulders
pattern,
because the actual
formation is not always mutually agreed upon by all
technicians.
-
Objective analysis
refers to studies that can be
analyzed, and the results verified, using statistics
or other mathematical methods.
An example of an
objective pattern is a moving average, because there
is a specific mathematical definition for a moving
average.
Technicians
may use both kinds of analysis in arriving at a trading
decision. The study of technical analysis will be
separated into two different categories for the
following reason. Fast and powerful computers now allow
the trader to test objective technical studies to see
how they perform historically. This allows the trader to
decide which studies yield better results with specific
markets over certain times. Of course, this does not
imply that past performance will be similar to future
performance, but the trader now has a reference frame to
work from.
Subjective
studies are inherently more difficult to analyze in a
rigorous manner like objective studies. Although some
work on subjective studies is being done in the field of
artificial intelligence, there is still a long way to
go. This by no means weakens the value of subjective
analysis, but simply implies that the studies must be
viewed from a different perspective. A technician may
use an objective study in a subjective way, and in fact
many traders do employ objective studies this way. For
example, moving averages are sometimes used in a similar
way as trend lines to detect support or resistance
points.