Good and Bad Trades
There
is an important distinction in trading between a
good and a bad trade. A good trade is made with the
probabilities in your favor; no matter what the
outcome the right decision was made. An investor may
make a good trade, and it can still result in a
loss. A bad trade is made with the probabilities
against you; no matter what the outcome the wrong
decision was made. A bad trade can result in a
profit. Good trades should eventually yield
profitable results over time, while bad trades
should provide unprofitable results.
If
making money in the short term is the only
criterion, then good and bad trades don't matter.
But if you consider trading a business and attempt
to keep the probabilities in your favor, it is
important to determine whether you make good or bad
trades. The same bad trade which makes money once or
twice will eventually cause much more money to be
lost.
Trading
is a marriage of ideas and emotions. Sometimes the
marriage appears to be an excellent mix, but other
times the ideas and emotions conflict. Trading
methods are embraced and well thought of when they
make money. But when times get tough the trading
rules often get abandoned because they are no longer
considered of any use. One of the ironies of trading
is that most enter with grand ideas of untold
wealth, but the more successful stay with prudent
visions of possible loss.
MAKING GOOD OF A BAD SITUATION
When
experiencing a losing period it is important to make
it as constructive as possible. Question your
trading rules to determine if they are still valid
or see if they can be improved. What about your
money management techniques? Are you experiencing an
extended series of losing trades, or was it one bad
trade which caused the loss? Is your mental state
contributing to the losses?
Adverse
periods are certainly the hard part of trading, but
they also may prove
to be the most rewarding.
Each bad
period should make
you question your existing strategies and cause you
to develop even better trading methods and money
management techniques.
We
seldom have the desire to change strategies that
work. Don't fix a clock that's not broken. But this
kind of mentality discourages change and ultimately
improvement of our-self. Of course, we should not look forward to
the next bad time to improve our-self. Bad times may
help to accelerate change and improvement, whereas
complacency sometimes reigns when good times occur.